Inqanaba kophuhliso loqoqosho eRashiya: komsebenzi, iingxaki, Outlook

Iminyaka emibini ngoku ilizwe lethu phantsi ukwayo ngamazwe. Lo mcimbi ungqamene iziganeko ezifana nengxaki kwishishini le-oyile, i-ukudodobala ekukhuleni kwehlabathi. Inqanaba kophuhliso loqoqosho eRashiya kuxhomekeke zonke ezi zinto. Yintoni eza kwenzeka njani kwixesha elizayo?
Yintoni na uqikelelo unika iSebe loPhuhliso loQoqosho, ikhokelwa ngu ixesha elide idume namhlanje "eyonakeleyo" Ulyukaev? Ukuhlolisisa ukubheka phambili.

Imiba yophuhliso loqoqosho

Inqanaba kophuhliso loqoqosho eRashiya ibandakanya ezi zikhombisi zilandelayo:

• kwesambuku semveliso kunye nemveliso wamazwe-capita nganye.
• ukhuphiswano kwezoqoqosho.
• Inqanaba ukonakala.
• Zabekwa kuluhlu lwabadlali ehlabathini.
• Ubume kuqoqosho.
• Isabelo-mali kwezemfundo, inzululwazi kunye ezintsha.

GDP iye bebefudula lubalaseleyo. Ngaye nokuxoxa.

GDP nganye capita: itheyibhile

Ubungakanani kuqoqosho lwethu "ezizimeleyo" yamaxabiso oyile kunye nezohlwayo zehlabathi, uya kwenza kucace kolu luhlu lulandelayo.

Xa sihlalutya lo GDP ngamnye onke amazwe, siza kubona ntoni oyile kumazwe wabandezeleka kakhulu, lo gama abathengi, phezu koko, ziye zanda. Ithetha ngezingxaki kushishino oyile. Noko ke, ngokuba ilizwe lethu, imeko maxongo ukwayo ngamazwe kunye kontrsanktsii. imveliso yethu GDP yazika ngokuphindwe ngaphezu kathathu. Oku irekhodi yazo zonke zamazwe kwiminyaka emibini.

Iingxaki umnotho Russian

Njengoko kubonakala amanani, kufuneka balahle phezu-kukuthembela hydrocarbon kumazwe angaphandle. Urhulumente kunye ngumongameli akusekho ngonyaka omnye-nihlale kulo. Noko ke, isabelo uhlahlo lwabiwo-mali kumazwe na ngaphezu kwesiqingatha njengepesenti. Ngokwendalo, ukwehla kwamaxabiso ombane kuchaphazela ngamandla asithandayo yethu.

Ingxaki yesibini - izohlwayo. Akukho mfuneko yokuba ngempazamo Mnikeni kontrsanktsii apha. Le ban kwi-apile Polish kunye nesalmon evela Norway - kungumsebenzi kwezopolitiko urhulumente wethu abe impendulo. Europe akayi ukulahla unikezelo iimveliso zokutya. Izohlwayo ezachaphazela icandelo logcino, ban utyalo - evalela i akhawunti amagosa Russian kunye noosomashishini. It is ezingazange zipapashwe, kodwa yaba negalelo ngqo kwi mali yethu. Oku kungenxa yokuba i-Duma State liyamkele ebizwa ngokuba "Umthetho Rottenberg." umongo wayo kukuba ikwaxina lwe akhawunti zabucala eYurophu, Russia imbuyekezo oku zonke berhafu. Elungileyo okanye embi, asiyi bexambulisana.

Ingxaki sesithathu - ukungabikho mali. Oku kungenxa yokudodobala koqoqosho nje kuphela kweli lizwe lethu kodwa ehlabathini. Ngamaxesha obunzima, abatyali bazama ukugcina imali kwiphothifoliyo aqinisekisiwe. Phantse akukho nzuzo, kodwa umngcipheko wokulahla bonke sakugcina kakhulu. Abatyali boom kwenzeka kwixesha ukususela 2000 ukuya ku 2008. ipesenti yenzuzo ifikelele ngaphezu kwama-50%. Nkqu iidipozithi zesiqhelo kwiibhanki angaphezu-12%. Le meko iye yatshintsha namhlanje. I inzuzo efanayo ye-12% kwi investment ophezulu Umngcipheko ipesenti elungileyo.

Ingxaki wesine - urhwaphilizo. Siyathemba ukuba kugxothwe iziganeko zakutshanje abalungiseleli kunye neerhuluneli ngokuba ukonakala - oku sisiqalo kumzabalazo ochasene nawo. Ixesha liya kukuxelela.

Ingxaki sesihlanu - imiqobo kwaye ingenalo novelwano. Nkqu enkulu inkampani Swedish IKEA wavakalisa ukuba uyala ukwandisa eRashiya. Oku kubangelwa kukuba amagosa bureaucrats kuwo onke amanqanaba ngokuphanga ukunyotywa ngesivumelwano. Kutshanje, umyalezo kaMongameli kwiNdibano Federal, sinethemba, siya kuyitshintsha le meko.

Izinga lokukhula kwamaxabiso kunye "uqikelelo" Ministry of Economic Development

Inqanaba kophuhliso loqoqosho eRashiya kuxhomekeke izinga lokonyuka kwamaxabiso. kwiminyaka engaphambili ukuba ngaphezu kwe-11%. Noko ke, abasemagunyeni baye bagqiba kwelokuba babe ngethuba ukuba nantoni na iindleko kwamaxabiso. Ministry of Economic Development ulindele ukuba 2017 umkhulu 4.9% kunye nokukhula GDP - malunga ne-0.6%. Nangona kunjalo, uqikelelo yeli sebe ze ufikile yinyaniso. Kwaye namhlanje kathathu ngenyanga edlulileyo iye yatshintsha ALS kwixesha elizayo. Ekuqaleni kwakusithiwa ukuba ukukhula GDP iya kuba kwinqanaba 0.8-1% ngo-2017.

Audit Chamber ufaneleke arhente, besithi phambi kokuba ulwazi ngesiquphe nolungachanekanga evela kwabaphathiswa ezifanelekileyo kunye namasebe. Ngenxa yoko, loo mpazamo kwi "iingqikelelo", obabufikelela 2%.

Trump uya kusihlangula?

Akwaziwa yintoni umphumo ukonyulwa umongameli Trump kwi US kuqoqosho lwethu. Yintoni esilindele ukuba kuyo? Kakade ke, kukho lokuhle abaninzi abathetha ubudlelwane elizayo ukuphinde usete, nokuphakanyiswa kwezohlwayo, nto leyo ibe nefuthe elakhayo kuqoqosho lwethu. Noko ke, into efanayo ndabeva kunye ukufika uBarack Obama ngelo xesha. Abanye abahlalutyi siyakholelwa ukuba bekuya kuba 'ukuzibulala "Trump ubuntu kuthi. Esi sigqibo sisekelwe phezu kuhlalutyo pre-buciko. Trump uza ukuze uyisebenzise imveliso hydrocarbon yabo lizwe, ukuphuhlisa imveliso mveliso. Imarike oyile ngoku befumile. hydrocarbon Dear karhulumente engeluncedo lwanto mveliso, nto leyo ithenga kwezinye izibonelelo. Ukuya kwi-oyile yayo iya kunyothulwa ngakumbi ixabiso "ngegolide black". Ngoku siza kumanani, ezibonisa inqanaba lophuhliso loqoqosho Russia.

Isabelo wamandla ngaphezu kwama-50% yengeniso-mali. Ixabiso ubuncinane de 2014 ukulungelelanisa mali yethu urhulumente kufuneka ibe $ 80 umphanda. Namhlanje lingaphantsi kwe-50 izigqibo bacebisa ngokwabo: mali zange phantse kabini kuhlelwa.

Iingxaki yoqoqosho Russian yavela phakathi kwabawayo amaxabiso oyile. Ke omkhulu phakathi kwabo - nokungabikho nokwahlukana. Logama nje amaxabiso oyile baba ngaphezu $ 100 umphanda, umgangatho wokuphila eRussia phezulu. Besave kuwa ku-50, kwaye sijongene mngeni omkhulu: unciphiso abasebenzi, noun iindleko, njl Ngoku iSebe loPhuhliso lwezoQoqosho kunye namanye amagosa rhoqo ndicinga ukuba sokulinganisela mali. Iiprojekthi abakhulisa irhafu yengeniso weza ku-13 ukuya kwi-15%, ukuqaliswa "yerhafu parasitism", ukuvusa umhlala-phantsi, yingqele i indexation ngayo ipension, ikomkhulu kubeleka, njl

Adjustment-mali karhulumente

Namhlanje, lo lokwandlalela uqikelelo (normal) yohlahlo lwabiwo-mali siya kwenziwa kwinqanaba kwamaxabiso oyile - $ 40 umphanda. Conservative (Critical) - at 25. Kodwa kwenzeka ntoni ukuba ixabiso sisehla sibengaphantsi? Kuye ayaziwa mntu.

$ 25 - Nguwo lo umda yokuwa?

Ingaba kukho naluphi na oyile ngumba esiwa aze? Ngaphambi kokuba siphendule lo mbuzo Ndifuna ukuba ukhumbule ibinzana ngobanjiso Putin: ". Ioli siwile ukusuka 100 ukuya ku-50 zeerandi umphanda, kodwa a-50 ukuya zero kuba kungawi" Uyakhona. Nangona phezulu ukuya ekuqaleni, kodwa amanqaku 15-20. Oku kubangele ukuba inani lezinto:

• Ukudodobala koqoqosho lwehlabathi. Oku kuthetha ukuba imveliso abandi. Imarike kuyinto oversaturated. Phantse bonke ngoku bokutshayela, nasezimbizeni microwave, njl Ekuphela kwento kunjalo yenza abantu bathenga - ukuvela iPhones ezintsha. Uqoqosho Chinese Kwaphuma kangangoko. isantya wakhe lancipha.

• Ukuvela amandla-ixabiso elitsha. Germany kutshanje bavakalisa ehlabathini lonke malunga Fusion yenyukliya. Eli lizwe lenguqu ukuya kwemithombo yamandla ehlaziyekayo cheap. Nokufika kunye nophuhliso Fusion enyukliya eYurophu, uyakwazi bayakhohlwa oyile negesi kwixesha elizayo. Yintoni elindele kuthi - akukho nzima ndiyaqikelela.
• Uphuhliso eminye imithombo yamandla: umoya, amanzi, ilanga, njalo-njalo E Iceland, umzekelo, kukho iprojekthi apho amandla uza simunce ezingundoqo komhlaba.