AmaBollinger. Inkcazo, ukusetha nokusetyenziswa kweBollinger Bands

Iibhodi zeBollinger ziyingxenye yezibonakaliso zemarike yokushintshaniswa kwamanye amazwe "Forex", eyabonakala kuma-80s. Isixhobo saba yinto yokufumanisa okwenene, eyadlulisela uphando lwezobuchwepheshe kwizinga eliphezulu. Umdali wesalathisi nguJohn Bollinger. I-algorithm yeso sixhobo kukumisela umzuzu wokungabikho kwembuyekezo okanye ukuphononongwa kwempahla. Ekubeni isibonakaliso sibhekisela kwizixhobo zokuhamba, sinceda ukucacisa ulwalathiso lwentengo. Ngenxa yenkcazo ecacileyo yeendawo zokungabikho kwembuyekezo kunye nokuphononongwa, unokufumana indawo yokujika.

Inxalenye ethile yembali

UJohn Bolinger ungumrhwebi owaziwayo kweli hlabathi lanamhlanje kwaye ngokufanayo ukhonza njengomsekeli weBollinger Capital Management, ejolise ekulawuleni imali. Iibhonksi zeBollinger, kwaye yile ndlela igama le-indicator elivakalayo ngesiNgesi, linokuthi lithathwa njengothixo woqobo kubo bonke abathengisi. Ngokuncediswa kwesixhobo sokuhlalutya imeko, unokubeka ngokucacileyo iinjongo, njengoko uhlalutya ukunyaniseka kwimarike. Isitya esenza malunga nomyinge ohambahambayo uguquguqukayo kwaye ilandele rhoqo ixabiso. Bonke abathengi, kuquka i-Forexstart, banikezela iinqununu zeBollinger kummandla woluntu. Esi sixhobo sele sakhiwe kwisigxina sokuthengisa, kwaye ukusetyenziswa kwayo akufuneki ukuhlawula ngaphezulu.

Inkcazo yesixhobo

Iinqununu zeBollinger, ngokwenene, zintathu ezihambahambayo eziphakanyisiweyo kwireyiti yentengo, isalathisi ayakhiwanga kwiwindow ehlukeneyo. Imigca ephakathi ihlanganisa ukuhamba kweengcaphuno kumacala omabini, ngaloo ndlela kudala umzila wokungabi nantoni. Kwakubukeka kweso sixhobo esabangela ukubonakala kwegama lesibini - "imvulophu". Ukunyuka kweemitha ezilula, kunye nokuphambuka okuqhelekileyo kwe-+2 kwimida engaphezulu kunye -2 kumda ophantsi. Izicwangciso ziyisiseko, kwaye, kuxhomekeke kwisithuthi, umthengisi ngamnye unokuziphucula. Ukongezelela kwinqanaba lokuphambuka, kwizitshixo zezibonakaliso ungatshintsha ixesha kunye nokutshintsha. Kukho ukhetho olubonisa ukuba yeyiphi intengo isalathisi esisetyenziswayo. Ixabiso lokuphambukisa eliqhelekileyo libonisa ukungahambisani kwesoxhobo sokurhweba ngexesha elithile. Ngokukhula kokungabi nantoni, iinqununu zeBollinger zanda, uluhlu phakathi kwamaphethelo aphezulu wekridi landa. Ngenxa yokuncipha komsebenzi kwimarike, i-corridor iya kuncipha.

Utshintsho kwixesha luchaphazela njani ukuziphatha kwesalathisi?

Ixesha lixesha elifanelekileyo elihambelana nenani elithile lamakhandlela, eliqwalaselwe ngumbonakaliso xa ukwakhiwa kwesiteshi. Kwizicwangciso eziqhelekileyo, ixabiso le-20. linikezelwa. Ixabiso liqala ukubetha imida, ekhokelela ekubonakaleni kwenani elikhulu leempawu zamanga. Ukuphendulwa kwemizila ngokweenkokhelo zamanani kusebenze. Ukwandiswa kwexesha kubangela ukutshitshisa isiteshini, ukwandisa umgama phakathi kwemigca ephezulu nangaphezulu. Isalathisi siqala ukusabela ngokukhawuleza kutshintsho lwexabiso. Ngenxa yokuba iziteshi ziya kuphulwa kaninzi, inani leempawu zorhwebo liya kuncipha. Ngexesha elifanayo, amandla ombonakaliso ngokwawo aphezulu kakhulu.

Ziziphi iinguqu kwiindlela zokuphambukisa?

Ukuphambuka kuyisalathisi esichaza umgama wemida ephezulu kunye nezantsi ukusuka kumyinge ohamba phambili. Xa ukunyuka okusemgangathweni kwanda, umda ukusuka kumda ophezulu ukuya kwiziko landa. Inani leempawu ezingenayo liyehla. Ukunciphisa ukuphambuka kuletha ishaneli sisondele kwisiko, esikhokelela ekunyuseni kwiimpawu zorhwebo zobuxoki. Ukuzama ukuphambuka okusemgangathweni, ungakhetha iiparitha eziphambili ze-highs kunye ne-lows, ezifanele zifikelele kwixabiso lokuphumelela.

Izifundo eziprayimari kunye namanqaku abalulekileyo

Ekuqaleni, isibonakaliso asizange sidalwe kwi-Market Forex. Injongo yalo yayikukuhlalutya imeko kwimarike yemasheya. Kamva, isixhobo saqala ukusetyenziswa ngokuthe ngqo kwimarike yemali kwaye siphuhliswa kwisicwangciso sokuthengisa izinto ezikhethiweyo. Umbhali wesalathisi wayetyenzisile kwitshathi yansuku zonke. Ngenxa yoko isigqibo sokuba ukusetyenziswa kwesalathisi kwamanye amaxesha kufuna ukuba kufakwe ezinye iiparitha. Ukusetyenziswa kwemigca kunye neendidi ezinobunzima kunye nexesha elinciphileyo kuya kubangela inani elikhulu leempawu zamanga. Uninzi lwabathengi abacebisi abacebisi ukutshintsha ukuphambuka okuqhelekileyo kwicala elikhulu. Njengoko uqeqesho luye lwabonisa, kwi-90% yeemeko ixabiso lihlala ngaphakathi kwikorori. Kwezicwangciso, ixesha elihambayo eliqhelekileyo litshintsha kakhulu. Zonke ezinye zishiywe ngexabiso eliqhelekileyo.

Iimpawu zesalathisi

Izicwangciso zeendlela zokuhweba zeBhanari, eqinisweni, njengezona zicwangciso ezichanekileyo kwiimarike zemali, ziphuhliswa ngokwemiqathango yale sixhobo lokuhlalutya. Ngokukhethekileyo kufuneka ubeke iliso kwixesha lokuphuma kweendleko kwiindawo ezidlulileyo zekrididi. Kukho ukuphakama okuphezulu kweendlela ezimbini zokuphuhlisa iziganeko. Kuvunyelwe ukuba kuqhutywe ukuhamba, kunye nokujika kwayo. Lo mqondiso kufuneka uxhaswe ngamanye amathuluzi enkqubo yokurhweba. Kwiimeko ezininzi (malunga ne-75%), ukuba ukunyuka kwexabiso lentsebenzo kuqalile kwelinye luso lwesitishi, kuya kuqhubeka kuqhubeka kwicala elifanayo. Enye inkalo yesalathisi inxulumene nale meko xa i-minima kunye ne-maxima zenziwa ngaphandle kwejelo. Ukuba ikhandlela elilandelayo lwenzeka kwindawo yokuhamba, unokuqwalasela ukubunjwa kwesignali esahlukileyo. Ukuba imigangatho yeBollinger icacile kwaye ilapha kweli gama ixesha elifanelekileyo, kuyafaneleka ukuthetha malunga nokuqala komgaqo omtsha ngesisiseko esisisiseko. Emva koko, unokwazi ukugxuma ngokuqinileyo kwi-volatility. Into engathandabuzekiyo kukuthintela ukwakheka kwamakhandlela angaphezu kwe-4 ngaphandle kweklasi. Emva kokufikelela kwinqanaba, ixabiso liqala ukulungisa. Lo mbandela awuqwalaselwe ukuba iindaba zezoqoqosho zibalulekileyo zenzeka.

Isicelo esisebenzayo

Iibhola zeBollinger zihlelwe njengezikhombisi zendlela. Injongo yabo ephambili kukuba kugqitywe ulwalathiso lwangoku lweemarike. Ngokutsho kweengcamango, esi sixhobo asiklanyelwe ukucacisa ukungena ngqo kunye namaphuzu okuphuma. Kule meko, abathengisi abaninzi baye bafumana isicelo esisebenzayo soluphawu kwinkqubo yokubeka esweni umsebenzi wayo. Ifomathi yesalathisi esilula ifakwe xa umgca ophakathi uphulwe kuyo nayiphi na indlela. Xa uqhekeza kwisalathiso esiphantsi, unokuqwalasela ukuthenga. Iimeko ezichasayo zibonisa ukulungiselela ukuthengisa. Ukongeza kwinqanaba lokungena eliphambili, iinqununu zeBollinger zeenketho zobuncinci, kwezinye iindidi zeemarike zinceda ukusekela iinjongo. Ngokukhawuleza ukuba iingcaphuno zamanani zifikelela kumda ophezulu okanye ngaphantsi komzila, kuxhomekeke kwisikhokelo sendlela, kubalulekile ukukhathazeka ngokuvala izikhundla zokurhweba.

Esinye sezicwangciso ezinamandla

Abanye abarhwebi abanobugwenxa abanakwenzayo ngaphandle kwezixhobo ezinjengeendidi zeBollinger. Isicwangciso sisekelwe kwimiba yokuvula kula maxesha xa amabhandlela ahamba ngaphaya kwemida yeseshini. Ingozi yezi zisombululo zidibaniswe nelokuba iibhola eziliqela okanye ezikhulayo zingenza ngokufanayo ngaphandle kwejelo. Ngaloo ndlela, de kube lixesha lokuguquka, siya kufuneka sichithe ixesha elithile kwilahleko. Kunokubaluleke nakakhulu ukwakha amanqanaba asebenzayo enkxaso kunye nokuchaswa ngesiseko sezibonakaliso zezibonakaliso . Ukuchaneka kwemida ihlala kwinqanaba eliphakamileyo ngokwaneleyo. Ukusetyenziswa kwesi sixhobo kusebenza ngexesha lokunciphisa ububanzi bekridi. Ukusebenza ngokufana nokusetyenziswa kwe-Alligator Bill Williams. Ngokude i-corridor iya kuba seburhulumenteni, i-intanethi iya kuba yinkqubela ekuhambeni kwexesha.

Isixhobo esizimeleyo nesongezelelweyo sokuthengisa

Imizila yeBollinger ingasetyenziselwa ukurhweba ngokuzimeleyo kwaye njengethuluzi elongezelelweyo lohlalutyo lobugcisa. Ukuphumelela kukuhlanganiswa kokugqibela kunye neepatheni zamakhandlela (Ixabiso lentengo). Kuyiyo ngokwenene ukuqwalasela iifom kufuphi nomda ophezulu nangaphantsi weseshini. Izibonakaliso ezilula kabini zingabamba iintsimbi okanye ikhandlela ezingenakunyuswa, izando, eziza kubonisa ngokucacileyo indlela yokuguquka. Amashishini kumaBollinger amaqela angasebenza xa edibanisa iimpawu zawo kunye nempawu ezisuka kwi -Indicator MACD. Ukunciphisa okanye ukukhula kwengqungquthela kunye nokukhula okufanayo kwendlela yokutya yomzila isele isisigxina esinamandla. Ubukho beentlobo ezahlukeneyo okanye ii-convergences zingathetha malunga nokuguquka okuzayo kwendlela. Ukuvula i-intanethi ngexesha elifanelekileyo kakhulu liya kuvumela uphawu lokuqinisekisa ukusuka kwiBollinger Bands.

Izibonelelo zesoxhobo sokuhlalutya lobugcisa

Njengazo nayiphi na ithuluzi lokuhlalutya lobugcisa, iinqununu zikaJohn Bollinger zineengcambu ezintle nezimbi. Yeka kwiimpawu zesixhobo. Inzuzo eyona nto yokugqibela yikhono lokumisela umendo ngokukhawuleza, ngokunje, enye yeendlela eziphambili zokurhweba ngokufanelekileyo kwimarike. Oku kuvulwa amathuba okusebenzisa isixhobo kuyo nayiphi imeko yemarike. Ngokuncediswa kwesixhobo, ngaphezu kokuqulunqa indlela, kukho ithuba lokuchaza kwangaphambili indawo kunye neendawo zokujika zendlela. Ukuthetha okungakumbi, ugxininise kwisikhundla seengcaphuno ngokubhekiselele kwisiteli, unokwenza ngokuthe tye ubeke iinjongo. I-versatility ye-Bollinger Band ibonisa ukuba isetyenziswe kuzo zonke iintlobo zeemarike: iimarike zemali, iimakethi zokukhetha, ibhokisi lemarike kunye nemakethe yemasheya. Into ephambili kukuba ulungelelanise izicwangciso zexesha elithile kunye nokuqwalasela umsebenzi wezoxhobo zorhwebo nganye.

Iingxaki zeziko lobuhlalutyo lobugcisa

Kukho iingxaki ezingenakucingelwa kwisixhobo sohlalutyo lobugcisa, njengamaqela eBollinger. "I-Forex" ukuhlalutya ngokucophelela, ebonisa ukuba kubalulekile ukumazi ngeephene ze "mvulophu". Ngokumalunga nokuzithoba kwamagxa, banokuphathwa ngeendlela ezahlukeneyo ngabathengisi abahlukeneyo. Siqwalasela ukungabikho kwezicwangciso zendalo jikelele, eziza kunika ukunikezelwa kweempawu zorhwebo kwiimpahla ezahlukileyo. Ukulungelelaniswa kwenkqubo kuyimfuneko nganye kwifom yezorhwebo. Uninzi lweempawu ezisuka kwisibonakaliso lubuxoki. Kubaluleke kakhulu ukuluhluza ngezinye izixhobo zokuhlalutya lobugcisa. Ngokomdali wejeli, usebenza kakubi kwiimarike ezibuthathaka kunye nezingasebenzi.

Ukuqala kwiindlela zokurhweba

Imigca okanye "iiphephelo" zidla ngokusetyenziswa ngabahwebi xa kukho iindlela zokuthengisa. Ukuqhawula kunye kunye neendlela zokubonisa ukubonisa ukuchithwa kwexabiso kwintengiso. Isixhobo sivumela umhwebi ukuba acacise ngokuchanekileyo ukuba ixabiso lesitrhwe sokurhweba liphezulu okanye liphantsi xa kuthelekiswa nezibonisi zamanani eziqhelekileyo. Oku kukuvumela ukuba wenze i-forecast for growth further or decline. Ubungqineko ukuba umrhwebi othengisa izinto ezikhethiweyo kufuneka akhathathele ingqalelo kudibanisa nomnqweno oqhubekayo wexabiso kumgangatho ophakathi.

Izibonakaliso ezisisiseko zendlela yokuthengisa ibhanari yokuthengisa

Isalathisi esona sikhulu, esimele sijonge kwiindlela zokuthengisa ezinqamlekileyo - oku kukuncincika kwetaneli. Oku kubonakaliswa ngokucacileyo ukuba kwikamva elikufutshane kuya kubakho ukugcina intshukumo enamandla. Ukuba, emva kokugqithiswa kwexesha elide kwiimarike, ikhandlela le-bullish liyakhelwe, eliye laphuka kwi-channel, kunokwenzeka ukuba kuqwalasele ukuthenga okungakumbi. Ubunokwenzeka ukuba ukunyuka kuya kumantla ku-90%. Ukuba imeko iguqulwa, kunye nekhandlela le-bearish lenziwe kwitshathi, eyaphula ngaphantsi komda we-channel, kungcono ukunika ithuba lokuthengisa. Nasiphi na isalathisi sesalathisi akufanele sithathwa njengokuba yinyaniso kuphela. Naluphina umzekelo owenziwe kufuneka ube nesiqinisekiso ukusuka kwesinye isalathisi, okanye iziphumo zohlalutyo oluphambili okanye lobugcisa.