Izopolitiko zehlabathi: iziganeko kunye nobuntu

IYAN iyakwelula ixesha elingakanani kwaye yintoni na isantya saseSyria esingena kuyo? Ingaba ihlabathi lalisentlabeni yentlekele? Ngale nto nezinye izinto ezininzi kule nqaku!

Ngubani othanda imfazwe?

Iindaba eziphambili zeentsuku zokugqibela, ngokuqinisekileyo, yintetho e-Syria. Ingxaki ngale nyathelo kukuba iRashiya nakwamanye amazwe aqonda ngokucacileyo eli gama. Umgaqo-nkqubo weRussian Federation ekuqaleni ujolise ekupheleni kokuphela komlilo ngamaqela anomdla, ngelixa iUnited States ayinakukwazi ukugqiba apho abantu ababi kakhulu khona. Ubuncinane kukho ukucaca malunga namaqela athi "Daishe" kunye ne "Dzhebhat nusra" (zombini ivinjelwe kwiRussia Federation), kodwa phi i-Jeychal-Islam "ephikisayo", elwa nomntu wonke kunye no-Akhrarash-Sham, onomgomo - ukuchithwa kwe-Assad?

Ukususela phakathi kobusuku ngoMgqibelo (ngoFebruwari 27, 2016), iRussia Air Force yayeka ukuhlaselwa kweenqwelo-moya ngokumelene nokuqulunqwa kwebhanti, eyafaka isicelo kwi-"Reconciliation Centre". Nangona kunjalo, phantse abantu abavela eTurkey benenkxaso yecandelo elincinci laseTurkey eliwela umda ngaloo busuku kwaye bahlala ngaphandle kweedolophu yaseEttle Tell el-Abyad, apho baxoshwa khona ekuseni ngemikhosi yamaKurdish.

Ukuqwalasela ukusetyenziswa kwezixhobo ezinamandla, sibona ukuba iTurkey ayinandaba ne "nkqubo woxolo", nangona kukho isisombululo se-UN ngokupheliswa komlilo. Into eqondakalayo, kuba uMongameli u-Erdogan mncinane unomdla kwihlabathi, kuba amaphupha akhe okuvuselela uBukhosi base-Ottoman ayahlupha.

Ilitye ejongene neRashiya

Izikhokelo zemigaqo-nkqubo yeenombolo zeMpuma Mpuma zicacile. Thatha, umzekelo, Saudi Arabia. UKumkani uSalman bin Abdul-Aziz Al-Saud, waseSaudi utshanje eMoscow, apho wayencoko yangasese noMongameli waseRussia Federation V.V. Putin.

Iinkcukacha zale ntlanganiso azange zipapashwe ngokukodwa, kodwa zivumelene nento ethile. Kwaye ngokuqinisekileyo kungekuloo mini 28.02.2016 U-Adel al-Jubair, intloko yeSebe loMphathiswa wezeMicimbi yangaphandle, uya kumangalela iSiriya kunye neRashiya ngokuphula umthetho. Kwizithethe ezilungileyo zeWashington, akukho bungqina bokuba kukho naziphi na izenzo ezinyanyekayo ezenziwe.

Izopolitiko kwihlabathi lanamhlanje zinjalo ukuba umsila uphendulelwe yinja, kwaye kungenjalo. Ubomi obunjalo, mhlawumbi akukho nto ingayitshintsha. Kwaye kwindlela, isitatimende esenziwe ngumpolitiki owaziwayo sinokupheliswa yinkxaso yakhe yecandelo lakhe (sikhumbule isenzo sikaKerry kumbuzo kaS. Lavrov malunga nesitatimende sika-Obama). Kwaye unikezelwa iinkcukacha ezithile zeMpuma, owaziyo, into ebalulekileyo, akucaci ukuba njani ukujonga ingxelo kaMnu. Al-Jubair. Kodwa ekuqwalaseleni kwakhe amazwi athi "akukho ndawo i-Assad eSiriya," umntu unokuthi ngokuzithemba: le diplomat akayiyo yonke isisombululo esinokuthula sombambano. Umsebenzi wayo kukunyelisa abaphathi baseSiriya, kwaye ngelo xesha iRussia.

Imicimbi yeMisty ye-Misty Albion

Njengoko upolitiki owaziwayo kunye nexesha eliyingqungquthela, uNdunankulu waseBrithani uDameron uthi , ukuhoxiswa kweBritani kwi-EU kuya kuba yintlekele yasendle. Nangona kunjalo, nguye obeka inqaku eliphambili phambi kweYurophu Yomanyano: mhlawumbi siphikisana namalungelo abafuduki bethu, okanye asisekho nawe. I-EU, ngokuqinisekileyo, ayifuni ukulahlekelwa ngumlingani onjalo, ngoko uKameron wakwazi ukusebenzisana neBrithani ubuninzi bokuzikhukhumeza, eyona nto-eyokuncitshiswa kwamalungelo abafuduki.

Ngoku ngoku yonke iminyaka engama-4 abakwazi ukuhlala ngeendleko zabahlawuli berhafu. Ngoko ilizwe alikhenkceli kakhulu kubalandeli be "ubomi kwi-freebie", ngoko, ukunyuka kwabo kwilizwe kuya kuncipha.

23.06.2016 u-referendum uya kubanjwa ngombandela weBrithani ukuhoxiswa kwi-EU. Oku, ingozi enkulu yoqoqosho, njengamalungu amaninzi aseburhulumenteni baseBrithani asebenza kwamanye amazwe, kunye nazo zonke izibonelelo kunye nezindululo zokuxhomekeka njengelungu le-European Union. Inokuthi inganciphise intsebenziswano kwimicimbi yokhuseleko, kuba zonke izivumelwano ezikhoyo ziza kuhlaziywa kwaye zifakwe kwakhona kwiimigaqo emitsha.

UNdunankulu ubonakalisa usongelo lwangaphandle, isisombululo esingazaliswa kuphela kwi-European Union. Oku kubini "u-Russian aggression", kunye ne "nuclear i-Iran", kunye neengxaki kunye nabemi baseMpuma Mpuma.

Yintoni iBritish efuna?

Umgaqo wehlabathi ngokubanzi kunye neYurophu ngoku ngakumbi usengozini. Ngokweengxoxo eziqhutywe phakathi kweBrithani, kucacile ukuba inani labaxhasayo kunye nabachasene nokuhoxiswa kwi-EU lilingana, kwaye uninzi lwamalungu karhulumente alukhuthaza ukulondoloza ubulungu. Kodwa sonke siyazi indlela uCameron athanda ngayo ukuthusa abantu kunye nokunika izithembiso. Ngokuqinisekileyo, uyayikhathalela ngokunyanisekileyo ilizwe lakhe, ukhuseleko kunye nokuthembeka kwayo.

Ukukhumbula ukuvakasha kweScotland, xa i-prime minister yakhuphuka ukuze ikhumbule inzala ephakamileyo kaWallace noBruce ukuba bangahluki na kwilizwe, sinokulinganisa. Emva koko wenza isithembiso sokuphila kwasezulwini, ukuzimela kwikhompyutha kunye nento ofuna. Ngenzuzo encinci, ubumbano luyabonakala. Kodwa akukho sithembiso esinye seCameron asizalisekanga, kodwa, nangona kunjalo, akuzange kubakhuthaze i-Scots ukuba ikhutshwe ngobuninzi.

IsiNgesi sidiniwe ngabatyeleli. Izopolitiko ezixolobileyo kunye nokunyamezela ngokugqithiseleyo zikhokelela ekubeni inzima yaseBrithani iqala ukunyanzelisa iimeko zabo ezitratweni zabo kubemi beenkoloni zabo zangaphambili, ezingenako ukuthukuthela abantu. Yaye ubulungu kwi-EU kuya kubabamba ngokulinganayo umthwalo wokunceda abemi baseAfrika naseMpumalanga Mpuma. Ngoko, ukuhlaselwa kwabangqongquthela kwiphina isixeko saseBrithani okanye ulwazi malunga nokudlwengula umntu ofudukela kwindoda kumaphephandaba uya kuhola i-UK ngaphandle kwe-EU kunye namavoti amaninzi, aya kubhubhisa ngokupheleleyo i-European Union.

Yintoni i-Ukraine ezimisele ukulwa nayo?

Njengoko kuyaziwa, umgaqo-nkqubo waseRashiya kunye nehlabathi ayisoloko ibheka izinto ngendlela efanayo. Ngokomzekelo, asisongeli bethu abamelwane ngeengqungquthela, kubala ukulahleka kwabo kwangaphambili, njengokuba uMnu Fedichev ovela kwiSebe lezeNtlalontle kunye noLuntu loMphathiswa wezoKhuselo wase-Ukraine. Kodwa, ngokwezikhulu ezizimeleyo zaseUkraine, le yindlela enhle yokubonisa "ababambene" ukuba banamandla kwaye banesibindi.

Ngokutsho kweziganeko ezikhankanywe ngasentla, ilahleko zombutho waseRussia ziya kuba ngamawaka angama-20 abantu. Abafileyo kuphela, ngelixa i-APU eqinileyo iya kulahlekelwa ngamaxesha angama-4-5. Ewe, nayiphi na incwadi ebhaliweyo kumacawa aya kuthetha ukuba umkhuseli udinga amandla angama-3 angaphantsi kwamandla angxamisekileyo. Kodwa ukuba ukhumbule ukuba amaza angama-4 e-Ukrainian-mobilisation awela phantsi komlilo wabavukuzi kunye ne-berdanki (ekuqaleni kwakungekho esinye isikhali), kwaye abo baqeshwe bahlawulwa okanye babalekela eRashiya ...

Eminye imibuzo ...

Ayivumelani nesitatimende sakutshanje seNgqongqoshe weSebe loMphathiswa weeNgingqi wase-Ukraine A. Avakov, owathi ilizwe alikho nto. Kubalulekile ukudala kwakhona i-APU, amapolisa kunye noonogada wesizwe, aze aye kukhulula iCrimea kwi "abahlali". Kukho umbuzo onengqiqo-malunga nokuba nguMnu Fedichev uza kulwa. Umgaqo-nkqubo weRussian Federation unjalo ukuba awuhlose ukuhlasela umntu. Ungakwazi ukuqonda ukutshatyalaliswa kweMerika yaseBaltic, ngowe-1940, kuba iifama ezingaphezu kweeLwandle lwaseBaltic aziyi kuphazamisa, kodwa kutheni kufuneka iRashiya ichithe i-Ukraine?

Amatekisi aseRussia eYurophu?

Yiyo loo nto abantu abaye bakuva ingxelo kaF. Bridlava, umlawuli we-NATO Joint Force eYurophu, unokucinga. Yaye yintoni enye yokujonga amagama akhe malunga nokulungelelwa kwe-US ukunqoba iRashiya kwintsimi yaseYurophu? Jikelele uBreedlove uyaziwa ngenxa yeengcamango zakhe, nakuba akazange ahlale iminyaka emininzi emgodini eVietnam, njengoMcCain. Ngoko ke, wagqiba isigqibo sokuba, emva kokuhlwaya kwakhe kwisithuba, njengoko uMnuz Tornby, intloko yeKomiti kwimicimbi yeCongress, wamxelela, kunye nokuphazamisa abantu baseYurophu abanomdla.

Izikhokelo zomgaqo-nkqubo we-US zihamba ngokukhawuleza ekujonganeni nazo zonke izigulane ezingavumelaniyo, kwaye kungekudala kuya kubakho ukwamkela uhlahlo lwabiwo-mali kwaye ulungele ukwanda kwenkcitho yokukhusela. Kule ngongoma ukuba ingxelo yecala eliyintloko kufuneka liqwalaselwe.

Enye into yokuba iYurophu, naphezu kwethemba likaWashington, ayifuni ukuphucula ubuhlobo obuyinkimbinkimbi kunye neRashiya. Abafundi baseJamani, ngokungafani nezopolitiko, bayaqonda ngokucacileyo ukuba xa kwenzeka isiteleka esiseRussia kwimimandla yabo, impendulo iya kuba eBerlin, kwaye ingabi ngaphezu kweCapitol Hill. Ngoko ukuhlaselwa kwesizwe esilandelayo kubangele ukuphazamiseka phakathi kwabafundi bezopolitiko kwiLizwe Elidala.

Ebudeni bemfazwe

Ingxaki ephambili "yehlabathi eliphucukileyo" kukuba ayiqondi kakuhle isiqondiso somgaqo-nkqubo we-Russia. I-colonialist ayikwazi nayiphi na indlela ukuqonda ukuba iRashiya ayilona ilizwe eliza kulwa nomntu ekukhuliseni indawo yokuhlala okanye izibonelelo, kwaye yile nto ehlala isisisombululo sokuhlasela.

Umgaqo-nkqubo wehlabathi uhlala ujoliswe ekulawuleni, kwi-world hegemony. Kwakubangelwa ubuhlwempu kunye nobukho beenjongo ezinzulu. Kwamanye amaxesha, ukutsho nje kwalahla izinto ezichazwe, zibhekisela kumazwe akude kunye nesithembiso sobomi obonwabileyo.

Imeko ehlabathini: iipolitiki ngoku iinjongo zokuthi yonke iplanethi isengozini yokutshatyalaliswa. Iinkokeli ezinokuthi zikhawuleze iqhosha kwi "iqhosha elibomvu", lihlale liwanele. Ngoku ihlabathi liphakathi kwemfazwe enkulu. Enyanisweni, yonke into yayingekaqala, isigqibo sezempi zaseRashiya ukuze idibene phantsi "Ukulila" eSiriya.

Mhlawumbi oku kukulindelwe kuye, kuba iCandelo lesi-5 le-Charter ye-NATO ichaza ngokucacileyo kwiimeko apho i-Alliance iqalisa ukulwa. Kodwa, njengoko kuvela, i-miscalculated. Umgaqo-nkqubo wokulwa noRashiya woxolo, olawulwa kuphela ekubhujisweni komkhosi welizwe lethu, waphinde wahluleka. Siyathemba ukuba oku kuya kuqhubeka.

Shwa nkathela

Kule nqaku, sixoxile ngeziganeko eziphambili zezopolitiko ezenzeka kwihlabathi ngeli xesha. Siyathemba ukuba ufumene yonke inkcazelo onomdla kuyo.